Posted by : Unknown Khamis, 7 Julai 2016

PROBABILITY

1. As a measure of chance

2. Single events (including listing all the possible outcomes in a simple chance situation to calculate the probability)

3. Simple combined events (including using possibility diagrams and tree diagrams, where appropriate)

4. Addition and multiplication of probabilities (mutually exclusive events and independent events)  




Note and Practical Example :



Question 1 :

1) A die is rolled, find the probability that an even number is obtained?

Ans/Solution (Q.1)
·         Let us first write the sample space S of the experiment.

S = {1,2,3,4,5,6}
·         Let E be the event "an even number is obtained" and write it down.

E = {2,4,6}
We now use the formula of the Classical probability.

P(E) = n(E) / n(S) = 3 / 6 = 1 / 2



Question 2 :

2) There are 9 red marbles, 1 green marbles and 5 yellow marbles in a bag. Two marbles are drawn at a random from the bag,one after another without replacement. Some of the probability are shown below.

FIRST MARBLE

R = 9/15

G = 1/15

Y = 5/15

SECOND MARBLE

RR GR YR RR = 8/14 GR = 1/14 YR = 5/14

GR GG GGR = 9/14 GG = 0 G= 5/14

RY GY YY R= 9/14 G= 5/14 YY = 4/14

KEY:

R RED MARBLE
G GREEN MARBLE
Y YELLOW MARBLE

(a) Calculate both marble are red,
(b) One marble is red and the other is green
(c) The two marbles are of different Color

Ans/Solution (Q.2) :


(a)      (9/15 * 8/14) = 12/35
(b)      (9/15 * 1/14) + (1/15 * 9/14) = 6/35
(c)      (9 /15 * 1/14) + (9/15 * 5/14) +(1/15 * 9/14) + (1/15 * 5/14) +(5/15*9/14) + (5/15 *1/14) 
           = 59/105

















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